Net Zero CO2 Emission Pathways for South Africa

Overview

This report, commissioned by the Presidential Climate Commission and developed by CSIR and ESRG, explores how South Africa can reach net zero CO₂ emissions by mid-century. It models potential energy and sectoral transitions, assesses socio-economic impacts, and identifies key policy measures to support a just and equitable transition. The analysis highlights practical ‘no-regrets’ options, aligns with global climate goals, and provides insight into how South Africa can reduce emissions while improving air quality, conserving water, and supporting inclusive development.

Recommendations

Achieving a 10 Gt cumulative GHG budget is a "no-regrets" option for South Africa with minimal GDP impact. Deep decarbonization demands immense investment, particularly in electricity, and potentially unproven CCS technology. While ambitious net-zero pathways might cause GDP losses from investment crowding-out, these can be offset by energy efficiency and concessional finance. High-GHG pathways risk future stringent targets and trade measures, underscoring the urgent need for a just transition. Further work on financing, spatial impacts, and specific sector technologies is crucial.

Publisher: Presidential Climate Commission

Date: February 2024

Source: Click here.